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Structural Break Explorer

ECON-5371 · Time Series Analysis and Forecasting — Chapter 6 companion widget

True Data-Generating Process

Set the true break — or set magnitude to zero for the null of no break — and watch whether the QLR test finds it.
Break Design
Sample
15% trimming (Andrews 1993) · k=1 (mean-shift test) · 5% critical value ≈ 7.17
Adjust the sliders to run the test.
Simulated Series (true break marked in terracotta, estimated break in charcoal)
Chow F(τ) Statistic Sequence — QLR is the supremum over trimmed candidates